Thursday, January 18, 2007

Bedrooms: By The Numbers

I have to admit the November 30 meeting notes, where I was provided the possible numbers of bedrooms within Ponte Vista by Mr. Bisno himself, now appears to be very difficult to read, even to me.

Here is another attempt by me to post the numbers given to me by Mr. Bisno during our unauthorized, sidebar discussion during that evening's regular CAC meeting.

These numbers were given to me by Mr. Bisno as an "off the top of his head" type of disclosure and, by no means, are the official totals that may be in line if he is successful in having an ordinance adopted allowing him to actually build 2,300 homes within the Ponte Vista area.

There will be two sections to the project. Here are the numbers generated for the Senior Housing section of Ponte Vista at San Pedro, according to Mr. Bisno's personal thoughts:

575 total units.

30%, or about 173 homes would be studio or 1-bedroom type units

60%, or about 345 homes would be two-bedroom units.

10%, or about 57 homes would be three-bedroom units.

Adding the number of bedrooms together would give you a total of a about 1,034 bedrooms within the 575-home Senior Housing section.


Now I will move to the non-age restricted section of the development:

1,725 total units

Approximately 16%, or about 276 homes would be "lofts" and have no walls between sleeping areas and living areas.

44%, or about 759 homes would be two-bedroom units.

30%, or about 518 homes would be three-bedroom units.

10%, or about 172 homes would be four-bedroom units.

Adding the number of bedrooms together would give you a total of 4,036 bedrooms in the non age-restricted section of the development.

This brings brings the total numbers of bedrooms that MIGHT be at a 2,300-home Ponte Vista development to:

5,070 possible total bedrooms or sleeping areas within Ponte Vista.

Let's now compare that total to the possible population given by the DEIR for the same sections.

The DEIR's numbers suggest that there will be 1.5 seniors per unit in the Senior Housing section of the Development.

The DEIR also states the there will be an average of 2.0 persons per unit in the non-age restricted section.

Adding the totals together you get a total possible population, according to the DEIR of 4,313 residents of Ponte Vista.

The DEIR also states that the project will provide 2.5 parking spaces per unit inside the complex.

According to the DEIR's statistics, there will be 5,750 vehicles for residents at Ponte Vista.

The bottom line figures, if you believe them, are as follows:

4,313 humans will use 5,070 bedrooms in a community and travel in 5,750 vehicles.

These are the numbers, believe them or not.

Here are some of my personal opinions, based on the numbers provided.

1. I only believe Mr. Bisno's thinking when it comes to the possible number of bedrooms within the development, at this time. Mr. Bisno gave me those figures to help me and my thought process in dealing with the issues surrounding Ponte Vista. I think his vision for the number of bedrooms and the amenities of the development are very interesting and deserve great study and discussion.

2. The other figures simply are not credible and do not appear in real life, in Los Angeles, and surrounding communities. The DEIR uses figures generated from sources that have been placed in question by a great many number of people. There are many ways to study the same concepts and I feel the information produced in the DEIR, while validated by other sources to some extent, also require the use of several different uses of methodology to be certain that we will get the best possible facts and figures.

3. It is implausible for me to think that there will be up to 757 beds, assuming one person per bed, going not slept in, every night, inside Ponte Vista. Mr. Bisno and supporters of his plans have repeatedly stated there is a need for more housing in the area, and more people need a place to lay their head at night. 757 empty beds per night seems a bit "elitist" to me.

4. If each and every one of the projected 4,313 residents of Ponte Vista drive their vehicle out of the gates every day, then there will be up to 1,437 vehicles parked at Ponte Vista each day.
Is it logical to believe that up to 24.9% of all the vehicles at Ponte Vista never get driven?
Why would the DEIR allow for such a high percentage of parking spaces if so few cars might actually be inside Ponte Vista, if you believe the DEIR's facts.

5. Total population, numbers of bedrooms, and vehicle counts, all generated by the DEIR or Mr. Bisno himself do not appear in real life. I can certainly believe Mr. Bisno's bedroom counts because of a (sort of ) twin development in Newport Beach, that looks strikingly similar to the illustrations for Ponte Vista. The vehicle counts and population numbers are simply not found in the L.A. area.

6. Many people taut the "unique" quality of Western Avenue and the fact that the area is on a peninsula and has limited ingress and egress points. It seems inconceivable to me to put such a large development on a piece of land so vital to the routes used by a large population to navigate in and out of the area. The closest Paramedic unit to any home in R.P.V. along Western Avenue, needs to pass the development site in order for residents to receive emergency assistance. While traffic might be a great issue to everyone, It is a grave issue for those of us who will depend upon a unit that must travel past Ponte Vista to provide us with Paramedic service.

7. I have chosen not to list possible pricing structures of the various types of homes at Ponte Vista because I do not have enough information to provide a more accurate breakdown of potential prices. I will include the following general items that I have found out about, concerning possible prices, based on what I have been hearing from Mr. Bisno himself, or folks within the Bisno organization.

a) It seems the starting prices for studios, lofts, and one-bedroom units might be in the range of the low to mid-low $300,000.00

b) Mr. Bisno has suggested to me that a four-bedroom home might cost somewhere in the neighborhood of $1.2 Million Dollars.

c) Mr. Bisno and I have both agreed that the monthly dues and fees paid for by residents at Playa Vista are quite a bit higher than he anticipates the monthly charges might be at Ponte Vista.
Playa Vista uses a two-tiered monthly fee structure. First there is a set monthly fee that all residents pay and a second fee based on the price of the home. Some residents of Playa Vista are charged approximately $500.00 per month and others are tasked with paying over $1,000.00 per month. Both Mr. Bisno and I agree that the Ponte Vista monthly fees would be more in the line with the $500.00 per month fee, but there is absolutely no guarantee with this figure.

d) The homes inside Ponte Vista will all be priced equivalent to the asking prices of similar sized units in the San Pedro area. There will be some selected residents that might be given a 3% rebate, based on their occupation, for new homes at Ponte Vista. That matter has not, as yet, been set in stone.

In summary, I feel that there are many folks who still have great problems with having 2,300 homes built at Ponte Vista, and I am one of those folks. I have enjoyed and very much appreciate Mr. Bisno's willingness to share his views on matters not very many folks have been privy to. While I feel there must be compromise on all sides of the issues concerning Ponte Vista, I am committed to finding the best possible outcome for the current and future residents of the area. Please remember, when this project is finished, Mr. Bisno still won't live here.

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